{"id":6760,"date":"2022-11-04T18:19:05","date_gmt":"2022-11-04T18:19:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.aboutmps.com\/?p=6760"},"modified":"2023-12-21T21:21:46","modified_gmt":"2023-12-21T21:21:46","slug":"predictions-for-the-2022-2023-winter-season","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/aboutmps.com\/blog\/predictions-for-the-2022-2023-winter-season\/","title":{"rendered":"Predictions for the 2022-2023 Winter Season"},"content":{"rendered":"
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What is this year\u2019s winter going to be like?<\/em><\/h2>\n
For those of us in the Snow & Ice Management industry it is a question we receive with alarming regularity. How could we not know? Afterall, we are supposed to be trusted experts. Coming up with an answer is easy. Coming up with the correct answer is an entirely different ballgame altogether!<\/p>\n
The true experts, experienced meteorologists who toil at The Weather Network<\/em> or Environment Canada <\/em>put a great deal of effort into providing long range seasonal predictions based on years of statistical analysis, satellite technology, computer algorithms, and, if I\u2019m not mistaken, just a little bit of guesswork. They\u2019ll toss around terms like polar vortex<\/em>, La Nina<\/em> or temperature inversion<\/em> to solidify their standing in the world of weather prediction. They\u2019ll huff and puff with the force of an Alberta Clipper, but at the end of it all, they turn out to be wrong just as much or more often than they are right. Mother Nature, just like the Casino, always seems to win in the end, surprising them all. I\u2019d be more than happy if they got their 5-day forecasts correct on a regular basis to be honest, let alone long-term! \nSo, what are they predicting for us this winter? The general consensus seems to be for a colder than normal winter, with above-normal precipitation and snowfall. The snowiest periods will be in late November, early & late December (not mid-December apparently), and mid-January.<\/p>\n
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What about the Farmer\u2019s Almanac<\/em> though? Their mix of intuitive divination using natural clues in the behavior of plants and animals, mixed with a pinch of sorcery, leads to great success (according to them at least) in accurately predicting seasonal weather. The problem is, which version of Almanac? The one I have used in the past seems to agree for the most part with the meteorologists; they claim with a high degree of \u201ccertainty\u201d that it will be a very cold, snow-filled winter, although mid-December will be one of the snowiest periods. Looks like December will be a whopper!<\/p>\n